Release Date October 3, 1994 The following statement originated at the International Workshop on Geological Indicators of Rapid Environmental Change, held on July 11-17, 1994, in Corner Brook and Gros Morne National Park, Newfoundland, Canada. ASSESSING RAPID ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE: THE GROS MORNE DECLARATION PREAMBLE We, earth scientists from many nations, peoples and cultures, speaking through the Commission on Geological Sciences for Environmental Planning (COGEOENVIRONMENT) of the International Union of Geological Sciences, urge that governments and other responsible authorities recognize the fundamental importance of understanding natural (see Note 1) and human- induced environmental changes, in which geological processes and geoindicators play a pivotal role. This recognition is a requirement to achieving any kind of sustainable development. WE EMPHASIZE THAT: Change is an inevitable aspect of our dynamic world. So that both natural and human-induced environmental change can be recognized, accommodated and managed, it is necessary to monitor a wide range of Earth-surface processes, both biotic and abiotic. Geological records of past environmental changes provide a major key to understanding on-going processes and to anticipating the future. It is essential to ensure that long-term datasets are systematically collected and preserved, modifying procedures to take into account new issues and techniques. Applied and basic research, as well as routine study, are required to advance knowledge and under standing of the causes and directions of environmental change. The public and the scientific community must recognize coordinated, long-term environmental monitoring as a mission of fundamental importance. The results provide the data necessary to assess the effects of environmental policies, legislation and management practices. Policy-makers, planners and the public must be informed of the benefits of environmental monitoring and the costs of not doing so. RATIONALE Natural and Human-induced Environmental Change Nature is complex and unstable. Change is the rule, not the exception, and surprises are common. Natural systems rarely remain for long in equilibrium. They adjust continually to new conditions, for example in climate, hydrological flow and sea level. Some changes are sudden, catastrophic and newsworthy, but there is a background of continual, small- scale change, the cumulative impact of which may be of even greater significance. All environmental change cannot, therefore, be blamed on human actions. Nevertheless, distinguishing between natural and human- induced change can be extremely difficult, as in the current debate on climate change. In the case of some environmental changes, human influences may be inconsequential, as in volcanic eruptions and deep- focus earthquakes. In others, it may not be possible to separate natural from anthropogenic causes, as for example in the switching of river channels, coastal erosion, landsliding and the encroachment of deserts. It is also important to recognize that many changes, such as the contamination of groundwater, permafrost melting, desertification, and the degradation of soils, may be irreversible over time scales of importance to society. Some changing environments reflect global trends, but it is important not to generalize all local and regional changes to the global scale. All local increases in sea level, for example, are not indicative of global rise. The Record of the Past All environments at the Earth's surface result from or are affected by the interaction of climate, human and other biological activity, and geological processes. Even if it is not now possible to predict environmental changes with confidence, data on the recent geological past are fundamental to establishing trends and baselines, both of which are essential for developing new models and concepts. Government, academic institutions and industry must cooperate to provide the data needed to validate and calibrate models and to identify change. It is essential to continue past efforts at environmental monitoring, to protect existing archives, to maintain and preserve long-term datasets, and to create new data-bases, such as on global permafrost. Long-term monitoring efforts (e.g. on stream sediment loads) are commonly abandoned as a result of short-term financial and administrative considerations. Irreplaceable information is also being lost because monitoring programs are not in place. Long-term records, for example on tides, stream discharge and water quality, CO2 and ozone in the atmosphere, provide significant scientific and social benefits that were not anticipated when existing programs were established. These examples underscore the need to select appropriate indicators and begin monitoring immediately so that baselines can be established, and so that the links between natural and human impacts on the environment can be assessed. Indicators of Rapid Environmental Change In order to assess the state of any environment, reliable indicators are needed, just as doctors use blood pressure and body temperature as simple, inexpensive guides to human health. Even if causes cannot be determined, we must be able to detect change and warn of dangerous conditions. Many monitoring tools and techniques required to achieve these goals are already available. Geoindicators are measures of magnitudes, frequencies, rates, and trends of geological processes and phenomena occurring over periods of 100 years or less, at or near the earth's surface, that are subject to variations of significance for under-standing rapid environmental change. Geoindicators measure both catastrophic events and those more gradual but evident within a human lifespan. Some are complex and costly, but many are relatively simple and inexpensive to apply. Examples of useful geoindicators include 1) visual observations of beach profiles and vegetation characteristics, which permit rapid assessment of the current stability of beaches and coastlines; 2) growth patterns of coral reefs, which provide detailed information on changes in ocean temperature and salinity, as well as discharge characteristics of major river systems; and 3) seismic events and ground deformation, which can be used to warn of impending volcanic eruptions. It is possible to utilize certain highly responsive natural settings as "automated environmental recording stations", whose records can be read for both current and long-term changes. These include corals, cave deposits, water in the unsaturated zone, ground temperature conditions in permafrost areas, tree rings and lichens. In searching for sustainability, we cannot afford to ignore important environmental indicators and the minimum datasets required to assess changes in erosion, sea levels, river flow, water quality or other earth processes that influence all ecosystems and our own well-being. **************************** The Geoindicators Workshop was sponsored by IUGS, Sir Wilfred Grenfell College (Memorial University of Newfoundland) and Gros Morne National Park, with support from Association of Geoscientists for International Development, Canadian Geological Foundation, Canadian Global Change Programme, Canadian Quaternary Association, Canadian Society of Petroleum Geologists, Environment Canada, Geological Association of Canada, Geological Survey of Canada, International Science Foundation, St. John's 88 Trust Fund, and TERRAMON. Note 1: While recognizing that concepts of "nature" and "natural" are linked with cultural values, this statement uses the terms to indicate environments uninfluenced by human activities, i.e. nature as wilderness. Note 2: For example, in the absence of long-term records of beach erosion and sedimentation in Ocean City, Maryland, $45 million was spent on a beach project that was destroyed in a single storm in 1992. In Spain, erosion due to natural processes and to poor land use indicates future declines in agricultural production and, ultimately, desertification. Long-term monitoring results have led to calculations of potential economic losses between 1986 and 2016 of $8.7 billion, with losses in some areas over $2000 per hectare. As a result of these studies, public awareness of these problems has increased greatly, and preventive and corrective measures are now being implemented in many areas. Note 3: Standard seismic indicators, for example, are available for the detection and assessment of earthquakes, though they are not always applied in monitoring projects that can induce earthquakes. (For further information on the COGEOENVIRONMENT Geoindicators project contact Dr. Antony Berger, 528 Paradise Street, Victoria, BC V9A 5E2, Canada. Phone/fax (604) 480- 0840. Email HARRISCE@UVVM.UVIC.CA)